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How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption?

 

 

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sjvn at vna1

Apr 20, 2011, 7:40 AM

Post #1 of 9 (981 views)
Permalink
How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption?

Nothing like far enough according to Arbor Networks’ study.

http://www.zdnet.com/blog/networking/how-far-has-the-internet-come-with-ipv6-adoption/967

Not that's that news to anyone here, but Arbor has the numbers to back
it up.

Steven

--
Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
Eliot


jordi.palet at consulintel

Apr 20, 2011, 7:50 AM

Post #2 of 9 (927 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

I've not read the study, but it is normal that there is no native IPv6
traffic, and it will not be there for long time, possibly until we reach
40-50% of ISP, deploying dual stack in the last mile.

If they measure transition traffic, the picture will be much different,
because the peer-to-peer traffic.

Regards,
Jordi






-----Mensaje original-----
De: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols" <sjvn [at] vna1>
Organización: Vaughan-Nichols & Associates
Responder a: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols" <sjvn [at] vna1>
Fecha: Wed, 20 Apr 2011 10:40:54 -0400
Para: <ipv6-ops [at] lists>
Asunto: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption?

>Nothing like far enough according to Arbor Networks¹ study.
>
>http://www.zdnet.com/blog/networking/how-far-has-the-internet-come-with-ip
>v6-adoption/967
>
>Not that's that news to anyone here, but Arbor has the numbers to back
>it up.
>
>Steven
>
>--
>Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
>Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
>QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
>Eliot
>



**********************************************
IPv4 is over
Are you ready for the new Internet ?
http://www.consulintel.es
The IPv6 Company

This electronic message contains information which may be privileged or confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of the individual(s) named above. If you are not the intended recipient be aware that any disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information, including attached files, is prohibited.


cb.list6 at gmail

Apr 20, 2011, 8:00 AM

Post #3 of 9 (935 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

Depending on how hard you try. I have 6rd ipv6 at home from comcast, isatap
at work, and native ipv6 to my 3g phone via T-Mobile. So, I believe I have
consistent high quality always on everywhere I go ipv6


tedm at ipinc

Apr 20, 2011, 8:25 AM

Post #4 of 9 (922 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

On 4/20/2011 7:50 AM, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ wrote:
> I've not read the study, but it is normal that there is no native IPv6
> traffic,

they didn't say there was NO native IPv6 traffic.

and it will not be there for long time, possibly until we reach
> 40-50% of ISP, deploying dual stack in the last mile.
>
> If they measure transition traffic, the picture will be much different,
> because the peer-to-peer traffic.
>

They did. If you think there's a problem with the study then
have ATLAS send you a darknet probe and stick it on your network.

Ted

> Regards,
> Jordi
>
>
>
>
>
>
> -----Mensaje original-----
> De: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols"<sjvn [at] vna1>
> Organización: Vaughan-Nichols& Associates
> Responder a: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols"<sjvn [at] vna1>
> Fecha: Wed, 20 Apr 2011 10:40:54 -0400
> Para:<ipv6-ops [at] lists>
> Asunto: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption?
>
>> Nothing like far enough according to Arbor Networks¹ study.
>>
>> http://www.zdnet.com/blog/networking/how-far-has-the-internet-come-with-ip
>> v6-adoption/967
>>
>> Not that's that news to anyone here, but Arbor has the numbers to back
>> it up.
>>
>> Steven
>>
>> --
>> Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
>> Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
>> QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
>> Eliot
>>
>
>
>
> **********************************************
> IPv4 is over
> Are you ready for the new Internet ?
> http://www.consulintel.es
> The IPv6 Company
>
> This electronic message contains information which may be privileged or confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of the individual(s) named above. If you are not the intended recipient be aware that any disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information, including attached files, is prohibited.
>
>
>
>


sjvn at vna1

Apr 20, 2011, 8:49 AM

Post #5 of 9 (927 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

On Wed, 2011-04-20 at 08:25 -0700, Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:
>
>
> They did. If you think there's a problem with the study then
> have ATLAS send you a darknet probe and stick it on your network.

Exactly so. Here's the methodology Arbor used:

http://jon.oberheide.org/files/sigcomm10-interdomain.pdf

Steven
--
Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
Eliot


jordi.palet at consulintel

Apr 20, 2011, 9:26 AM

Post #6 of 9 (924 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

They only mention proto-41, but not others ... So not really sure the
complete picture is there. Even do, they say only 1% for proto-41, and
this is a very small fraction of what other measurements report, so I'm
not convinced the methodology is good enough.

Regards,
Jordi






-----Mensaje original-----
De: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols" <sjvn [at] vna1>
Organización: Vaughan-Nichols & Associates
Responder a: "Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols" <sjvn [at] vna1>
Fecha: Wed, 20 Apr 2011 11:49:38 -0400
Para: ipv6-ops <ipv6-ops [at] lists>
Asunto: Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption?

>On Wed, 2011-04-20 at 08:25 -0700, Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:
>>
>>
>> They did. If you think there's a problem with the study then
>> have ATLAS send you a darknet probe and stick it on your network.
>
>Exactly so. Here's the methodology Arbor used:
>
>http://jon.oberheide.org/files/sigcomm10-interdomain.pdf
>
>Steven
>--
>Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
>Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
>QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
>Eliot
>



**********************************************
IPv4 is over
Are you ready for the new Internet ?
http://www.consulintel.es
The IPv6 Company

This electronic message contains information which may be privileged or confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of the individual(s) named above. If you are not the intended recipient be aware that any disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information, including attached files, is prohibited.


sjvn at vna1

Apr 20, 2011, 9:52 AM

Post #7 of 9 (923 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

On Wed, 2011-04-20 at 18:26 +0200, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ wrote:
>
> They only mention proto-41, but not others ... So not really sure the
> complete picture is there. Even do, they say only 1% for proto-41, and
> this is a very small fraction of what other measurements report, so
> I'm
> not convinced the methodology is good enough.

Let 'em know. The sooner we get good numbers the better for those
wonderful 'conversations' with CIOs, CFOs, and the like over the costs
of switching over to IPv6.

Steven
--
Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
Editor-in-Chief, Practical Technology: http://www.practical-tech.com
QOTD: "It is never too late to be what you might have been."--George
Eliot


martin at millnert

Apr 20, 2011, 10:01 AM

Post #8 of 9 (963 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

On Wed, 2011-04-20 at 08:25 -0700, Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:
> On 4/20/2011 7:50 AM, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ wrote:
> > I've not read the study, but it is normal that there is no native IPv6
> > traffic,
>
> they didn't say there was NO native IPv6 traffic.
>
> and it will not be there for long time, possibly until we reach
> > 40-50% of ISP, deploying dual stack in the last mile.
> >
> > If they measure transition traffic, the picture will be much different,
> > because the peer-to-peer traffic.
> >
>
> They did. If you think there's a problem with the study then
> have ATLAS send you a darknet probe and stick it on your network.
>

If the problem is with the methodology itself, sticking a darknet probe
on your network is not going to help.

I'd like to know more about the methodology used to identify Teredo
traffic, because I'm still not convinced their Teredo-detection
algorithm is correct. "Microsoft’s Teredo (65.55.158.118)." is not very
convincing to this end. There are certainly more than 1 IP used by the
different MS Teredo server farms -- and MS does not run any relays at
all by themselves...
By mentioning one specific MS IPv4 address as "Teredo", they fail to
suggest that they've done anything close to
http://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-ietf-v6ops-teredo-security-concerns-02#section-3.2.2 which is required to properly identify Teredo data payload.

>From operating a 6to4- and Teredo relay once, I found that the traffic
levels of Teredo were outperforming 6to4, once the Miredo setup was
optimized a bit, and that there was no upper limit in traffic levels of
Miredo -- the more I optimized, the more throughput grew, suggesting the
relay was a bottleneck in the data path even though no pl was measured.

I can only assume from the report that they've (again) completely missed
~99.999% of the true Teredo volume, if they indeed only looked at
traffic to that one IP. There is no independent presentation of 6to4 vs
Teredo traffic to draw any further conclusions from wrt. how
successfully they've classified Teredo data payloads.

Regards,
Martin


michael at rancid

Apr 20, 2011, 1:42 PM

Post #9 of 9 (912 views)
Permalink
Re: How far has the Internet come with IPv6 Adoption? [In reply to]

On 4/20/11 9:52 AM, Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols wrote:
> On Wed, 2011-04-20 at 18:26 +0200, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ wrote:
>>
>> They only mention proto-41, but not others ... So not really sure the
>> complete picture is there. Even do, they say only 1% for proto-41, and
>> this is a very small fraction of what other measurements report, so
>> I'm
>> not convinced the methodology is good enough.
>
> Let 'em know. The sooner we get good numbers the better for those
> wonderful 'conversations' with CIOs, CFOs, and the like over the costs
> of switching over to IPv6.

What CIOs, CFOs, etc., should also understand is that the drivers for
IPv6 adoption, such as IPv4 run-out and the increasing potential for
v6-only users and resources appearing on the Internet, has very little
to do with how much IPv6 traffic is currently on the Internet. *Before*
such a v6-only resource appears--one that your users need--you had
better be ready.

Peer pressure (or lack thereof) shouldn't trump common sense.

michael

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